Knicks vs 76ers prediction, odds, start time: Proven model reveals best bets for 2026 NBA Playoff Game 4
The Knicks vs 76ers matchup shifts back to Philadelphia on Sunday, May 10, with New York holding a commanding 3-0 series lead. Game 4 tips off at 3:30 p.m. ET inside Xfinity Mobile Arena and airs on ABC. The Knicks now sit one win away from their first playoff sweep since 2000 after dominating both ends through three games.
New York enters Game 4 averaging 117.7 points per game in the series, while Philadelphia has produced only 98.0 points. The Knicks also own a massive +8.4 rebounding margin and average 28.0 assists per contest. Those numbers explain why sportsbooks list New York as a slight road favorite. Most books currently show the Knicks at -1.5 with a total between 212.5 and 213.5 points.
The biggest storyline remains Jalen Brunson’s elite postseason run. Brunson has scored 35, 26, and 33 points across the first three games. His consistency has completely changed this series.
Knicks vs 76ers odds and betting lines
The latest Knicks vs 76ers odds favor New York despite playing on the road. Bettors continue backing the Knicks after six straight wins overall and five covers in their last six games.
Updated Game 4 betting lines
| Market | Odds |
|---|---|
| Spread | Knicks -1.5 |
| Moneyline | Knicks -122 |
| Moneyline | 76ers +102 |
| Over/Under | 212.5-213.5 |
| Tip-off | 3:30 p.m. ET |
| Date | May 10, 2026 |
Philadelphia has failed to score more than 102 points in any game this series. That trend explains why the underdog has cashed in two straight games. The under has also hit in six of the last 10 meetings between these teams.
Key player props and predictions
Jalen Brunson remains the top focus in the Knicks vs 76ers betting market. His points prop sits at 26.5 after averaging 31.3 points and 6.0 assists this series. Brunson has also averaged 29 points in six road closeout games since joining New York.
Best player prop angles
- Brunson Over 26.5 points.
- Mikal Bridges Over 15.5 points.
- Karl-Anthony Towns Under 30.5 points plus rebounds.
- 76ers first-half spread interest.
Mikal Bridges continues producing efficiently. He averages 19.3 points while shooting 64% from the field and 45% from three-point range. Bridges also scored 23 points in Game 3 and has cleared his scoring prop in four straight playoff games.
Joel Embiid remains listed as probable with a hip injury after posting 18 points, six rebounds, five assists, and three blocks in Game 3. Meanwhile, OG Anunoby is questionable for New York because of a right hamstring strain.
Philadelphia may still offer first-half value. Historically, home underdogs trailing 3-0 cover first-half spreads 61.9% of the time. Still, New York’s rebounding and offensive balance make the Knicks the stronger full-game pick entering Sunday afternoon. Read more news for Sports.
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