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Texas Tech vs. Arizona State Odds, Picks & Expert Predictions

No. 13 Texas Tech Red Raiders men’s basketball travels to face the Arizona State Sun Devils men’s basketball on Tuesday, Feb. 17, 2026, at Desert Financial Arena in Tempe. The Big 12 showdown tips off at 9 p.m. MST and will be broadcast on ESPN2.

Texas Tech enters the contest with a 19-6 overall record and 9-3 in conference play, while Arizona State stands at 13-12 overall and 4-8 in the Big 12.

Texas Tech vs Arizona State Odds and Betting Lines

According to DraftKings Sportsbook, Texas Tech is listed as an 8.5-point favorite. The Red Raiders are -360 on the moneyline, while Arizona State is +285. The over/under for the matchup is set between 154.5 and 156 points, depending on the listing.

Despite being favored, Texas Tech’s performance against the spread when laying more than a possession has been inconsistent this season. The Red Raiders are 7-10 ATS when favored by more than one possession.

Recent Result: Arizona State Upsets Texas Tech

In their most recent meeting in Tempe, Arizona State secured a 72-67 win over Texas Tech. The Red Raiders committed a season-high 17 turnovers, including seven from Christian Anderson, and struggled late in the game.

JT Toppin led Texas Tech with 20 points and eight rebounds before exiting with an apparent leg injury in the final minutes. Maurice Odom paced Arizona State with a game-high 23 points.

Arizona State closed the first half on an 8-0 run to take a 37-36 lead and capitalized on Texas Tech’s mistakes, converting turnovers into key points. The Sun Devils sealed the win with late free throws.

Texas Tech Betting Trends and Key Factors

Texas Tech has recently been strong defensively, ranking among the top teams in opponent effective field goal percentage during its last four games. The Red Raiders have not allowed more than 66 points in regulation in that span.

However, road turnover issues remain a concern. Texas Tech ranks 145th nationally in turnover rate on the road (17%), while Arizona State ranks 65th in opponent turnover rate at 19.1%. Ball security could again play a decisive role.

Arizona State has also been solid against the spread recently, going 5-1 ATS in its last six games.

Best Bet and Same-Game Parlay Considerations

One betting angle suggests backing Arizona State +8, citing a potential letdown spot for Texas Tech after a major road win over Arizona.

Another same-game parlay option includes:

  • Arizona State +8
  • Under 153.5
  • Santiago Trouet over 5.5 rebounds

Arizona State’s rebounding has been inconsistent, making Trouet’s presence on the glass a key factor if the Sun Devils are to keep the game close.

Final Remarks

Texas Tech enters as the clear favorite based on record and ranking, but recent trends and matchup data suggest Arizona State could keep this Big 12 battle competitive. Turnovers, tempo, and rebounding will likely determine whether the Red Raiders cover the spread or if the Sun Devils deliver another strong home performance.

FAQs

Is Texas Tech favored against Arizona State?

Yes, Texas Tech is listed as an 8.5-point favorite with a -360 moneyline.

What is the over/under for Texas Tech vs Arizona State?

The total is set around 154.5 to 156 points, depending on the sportsbook.

Why is Arizona State considered a value pick?

Arizona State has gone 5-1 ATS in its last six games and benefits from Texas Tech’s road turnover issues.

Disclaimer:

The content shared by Meyka AI PTY LTD is solely for research and informational purposes. Meyka is not a financial advisory service, and the information provided should not be considered investment or trading advice.