Jazz vs Rockets Prediction: Expert Picks and Best Bets for Tonight
The Jazz vs Rockets matchup features a struggling Utah squad facing a heavy favorite Houston team at Toyota Center. With playoff positioning and draft implications in play, Monday night’s contest offers intriguing betting angles.
Utah Jazz Preview
Utah’s season continues to spiral. The team owns one of the league’s worst net ratings and sits at the bottom in defensive efficiency. Since the start of 2026, the Jazz have managed just six wins.
Their roster issues have compounded the problem. Jaren Jackson Jr. was shut down for the season after knee surgery, while Walker Kessler and Jusuf Nurkic remain unavailable.
Lauri Markkanen is listed as probable, and Keyonte George is questionable, which could impact Utah’s scoring punch.
Despite their record, recent advanced metrics show improved defensive stretches, and the Jazz have quietly trended toward lower-scoring games.
Houston Rockets Preview
Houston remains in the Western Conference playoff race but has cooled offensively in recent weeks. Since Jan. 1, the Rockets rank near the bottom of the league in scoring efficiency.
Still, any team led by Kevin Durant is dangerous. Durant has scored 30+ points in both games since the All-Star break.
Alperen Sengun provides interior scoring and playmaking, giving Houston balance on both ends. The Rockets also boast one of the stronger defensive units in the conference.
Jazz vs Rockets Best Bet
Houston enters as a 13.5-point favorite at home. While the Rockets should control the game against a short-handed Utah frontcourt, trends suggest caution with large spreads.
The total is set at 228.5 points, and both teams have consistently trended toward the UNDER. Houston has seen the UNDER hit in six of its last seven games and in 11 straight home contests.
Prediction: Rockets win comfortably, but Utah covers the spread. Lean toward the UNDER 228.5.
Final Prediction
Expect Houston to bounce back offensively against Utah’s vulnerable defense. However, inflated spreads and recent betting trends suggest the smarter angle may be backing the Jazz to keep it closer than expected.
Projected Score: Rockets 118, Jazz 106
FAQs
Houston is favored by 13.5 points at home.
Yes, Kevin Durant is expected to lead the Rockets.
The over/under is set at 228.5 points.
Disclaimer:
The content shared by Meyka AI PTY LTD is solely for research and informational purposes. Meyka is not a financial advisory service, and the information provided should not be considered investment or trading advice.
